Risk of stroke after TIA

 

Clinician's quick guide for management after TIA or Stroke
Risk of stroke after TIA
bullet1st month: 4-8%. 1st year: 12%. 5 years: 24-29%
bulletLong-term stroke recurrence rates range from 4% to 14% annually.
bulletThere may be differences in recurrence rates by stroke subtype.
bulletLacunar infarction may have the lowest recurrence rate
bulletAtherothrombotic infarction the highest
Risk Factor Treatment Goal Recommendations
Hypertension SBP <140 mm Hg and DBP <90 mm Hg; SBP <135 mm Hg and DBP <85 mm Hg if target organ damage is present Lifestyle modification and antihypertensive medications
Smoking Cessation Provide counseling, nicotine replacement, and formal programs
Diabetes mellitus Glucose <126 mg/dL (6.99 mmol/L) Diet, oral hypoglycemics, insulin
Lipids LDL <100 mg/dL (2.59 mmol/L) HDL >35 mg/dL (0.91 mmol/L) TC <200 mg/dL (5.18 mmol/L) TG <200 mg/dL (2.26 mmol/L) AHA Step II diet: <=30% fat, <7% saturated fat, <200 mg/d cholesterol. If target goal not achieved, add drug therapy (eg, statin agent) if LDL >130 mg/dL (3.37 mmol/L) and consider drug therapy if LDL 100–130 mg/dL (2.59–3.37 mmol/L)
Alcohol Moderate consumption (< or = 2 drinks/d)  
Physical activity 30–60 minutes of activity at least 3–4 times/wk Moderate exercise (eg, brisk walking, jogging, cycling, or other aerobic activity) Medically supervised programs for high-risk patients (eg, cardiac disease)
Weight < 120% of ideal body weight for height. Check ideal weight. Diet and exercise
SBP indicates systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; AHA, American Heart Association; HDL, high-density lipoproteins; TC, total cholesterol; and TG, triglycerides
Ischemic Stroke Subtype Recommendations
Atherosclerotic carotid disease
>70% stenosis Carotid endarterectomy of definite benefit if done with acceptable morbidity and mortality. Antiplatelet agents
50–69% stenosis Carotid endarterectomy of potential benefit depending on risk factors
Antiplatelet agents
<50% stenosis Carotid endarterectomy of no benefit. Use Antiplatelet agents
Intracranial artery stenosis
50 to 99% stenosis of an intracranial artery (carotid; anterior, middle, or posterior cerebral; vertebral; or basilar)  Patients with TIA or stroke in the territory of the stenotic artery qualified for inclusion in the study. 88 treated with warfarin and 63 treated with aspirin. The rates of major vascular events were 18.1 per 100 patient-years of follow-up in the aspirin group compared with 8.4 per 100 patient-years of follow-up in the warfarin group. (The Warfarin Aspirin Symptomatic Intracranial Disease Study. Neurology. 1995 Aug;45(8):1488-93.)
Cardiac embolism
Definite source: Oral anticoagulation (unless contraindicated):
Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation INR 2–3 (target 2.5) lifelong therapy
Left ventricular thrombus, recent Myocardial infarction INR 2–3 (target 2.5) 6-month therapy
Prosthetic Valvular heart disease INR 3–4 (target 3.5) lifelong therapy
Possible cardiac source Antiplatelet agents (oral anticoagulation undergoing evaluation)
Other infarct subtypes including small-vessel lacunar disease and cryptogenic stroke Antiplatelet agents 
  Source, study population & design Relative risk reduction
Stroke Stroke/MI/Vascular death
bulletASA: Acceptable dose 30-1300 mg per day
Antiplatelet Trialists meta-analysis. All high risk patients: ASA vs Placebo 31% 27%
Algre & van Gijn mini meta analysis: stroke & TIA pateints, aspirin vs placebo   16%
bulletAggrenox: 25 asa/200 dipyridamole bid
ESPS2: Stroke or TIA. Aggrenox bid vs asa 25 mg bid 23%  
bulletPlavix: 75 mg qd
CAPRIE: recent stroke, MI, peripheral vascular disease. Plavix vs 325 mg asa about the same with aspirin 7.6% 
References & Further reading:
bulletAHA Scientific Statement - Preventing Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Prior Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack
bulletAntiplatelet agent - NL
bulletCarotid Endarterectomy - NL
bulletAnticoagulant - NL
 

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